Seperti artikel saya yang diposting sebelumnya, level 1.4000 adalah level support (psikologis) yang sampai saat ini masih kuat menahan running harga pair Eur/Usd. Bukan berarti level tersebut tidak dapat ditembus, karena biasanya pattern konsolidasi lebih bergantung pada data-data fundamental yang akan di-release hari ini dan hari-hari berikutnya.
Break-out pada level 1.4200 dan 1.4000, barangkali akan menjadi arah yang jelas bagi pergerakan selanjutnya, terutama momentum pada chart Daily.
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Technical Summary by fxtechstrategy.com (25-10-2010)
A follow through higher on its hammer print on the daily chart continues to stall as EURUSD is slightly offered after testing a recovery high of 1.4194 today. We retain our short term bearish bias on the pair while the 1.4216/92 levels cap recoveries. GBPUSD may be strengthening after failing to follow through lower on its past week gains but as long as those gains currently seen hold below the 1.6234/39 levels and its short term declining trendline presently at the 1.6412 level, we expect the pair to weaken and retarget the 1.5892/30 levels in the days ahead. EURJPY continues to maintain its short term bearish structure following its failure at the 134.36 level and its subsequent declines. It has been hesitating after failing at the 128.12 during today’s trading session. Overall risk remains lower. EURGBP is currently seeing a back off higher level prices having failed to continue its corrective recovery initiated at the 0.8650 level last week. Threats are now seen for a decline towards that level and possibly lower. AUDUSD remains vulnerable to the downside and looks to head further lower towards its key supports located at the 0.8936 and the 0.8733 levels. It will have to break and hold above the 0.9173 level to avert its current weakness. USDCAD continues to maintain its recovery triggered off the 1.0219 level as it looks to move further higher towards the 1.0743 level. Our outlook on USDJPY remains the same as we expect weakness to extend towards the 88.30 level and beyond. CRUDE OIL though strengthening marginally is still biased to the downside as it eyes a test of its long term rising trendline currently located at the 72.90 level.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis by forexcrunch.com
EUR/USD dived thus week into a lower range. The new range is marked by 1.42 that was the support line for the previous range and 1.40 which is a round number and also worked as stepping stone for the Euro on its way up.
After losing 1.42, EUR/USD traded between 1.4029 and 1.4182, keeping some distance from the range borders.
Above, 1.42, 1.4450, the previous border of the range is another resistance line. 1.4626 is another resistance line above that, followed by a major point at 1.48, which was the border of the high range.
Looking lower, 1.3750 is a very strong area of support for the Euro. It served as both a clear support line and resistance line in the past. Even lower, I’ve added a new line on last week’s outlook – 1.3420 is the next support line, quite far for now.
A follow through higher on its hammer print on the daily chart continues to stall as EURUSD is slightly offered after testing a recovery high of 1.4194 today. We retain our short term bearish bias on the pair while the 1.4216/92 levels cap recoveries. GBPUSD may be strengthening after failing to follow through lower on its past week gains but as long as those gains currently seen hold below the 1.6234/39 levels and its short term declining trendline presently at the 1.6412 level, we expect the pair to weaken and retarget the 1.5892/30 levels in the days ahead. EURJPY continues to maintain its short term bearish structure following its failure at the 134.36 level and its subsequent declines. It has been hesitating after failing at the 128.12 during today’s trading session. Overall risk remains lower. EURGBP is currently seeing a back off higher level prices having failed to continue its corrective recovery initiated at the 0.8650 level last week. Threats are now seen for a decline towards that level and possibly lower. AUDUSD remains vulnerable to the downside and looks to head further lower towards its key supports located at the 0.8936 and the 0.8733 levels. It will have to break and hold above the 0.9173 level to avert its current weakness. USDCAD continues to maintain its recovery triggered off the 1.0219 level as it looks to move further higher towards the 1.0743 level. Our outlook on USDJPY remains the same as we expect weakness to extend towards the 88.30 level and beyond. CRUDE OIL though strengthening marginally is still biased to the downside as it eyes a test of its long term rising trendline currently located at the 72.90 level.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis by forexcrunch.com
EUR/USD dived thus week into a lower range. The new range is marked by 1.42 that was the support line for the previous range and 1.40 which is a round number and also worked as stepping stone for the Euro on its way up.
After losing 1.42, EUR/USD traded between 1.4029 and 1.4182, keeping some distance from the range borders.
Above, 1.42, 1.4450, the previous border of the range is another resistance line. 1.4626 is another resistance line above that, followed by a major point at 1.48, which was the border of the high range.
Looking lower, 1.3750 is a very strong area of support for the Euro. It served as both a clear support line and resistance line in the past. Even lower, I’ve added a new line on last week’s outlook – 1.3420 is the next support line, quite far for now.
Intraday EUR/USD 21 Januari 2010
Seperti pada artikel yang ditulis sebelumnya (tgl 15 Januari), chart Daily mengalami perubahan momentum yang cukup signifikan setelah level 1.4335 dapat ditembus secara tegas. Secara teknikal, MACD pada chart Daily kini berada pada level di bawah 0 (nol). Yang cukup menarik perhatian kami adalah, pada chart 4H, running harga telah menyentuh lower channel. Bagaimanapun, kelihatannya level 1.4000 menjadi level support psikologis bagi pair Eur/Usd. Jadi, apabila 1.4000 mampu bertahan, maka retrace terhadap chart Daily mungkin akan terjadi. Tapi mengingat begitu banyaknya data (yang berkaitan dengan Euro) yang akan di-release sore ini, barangkali saya lebih suka menyimak running harga terlebih dahulu, hingga tercapai kondisi-kondisi untuk entri posisi yang secara teknikal mungkin lebih menguntungkan (terutama pada chart 1H).
R1: 1.4234
PV: 1.4156
S1: 1.4019
Intraday EUR/USD 15 Januari 2010
Chart 4H (4 Hour) kali ini menunjukkan down momentum yang dikonfirmasi oleh indikator Stochastic dan MACD (di bawah level 0). Harga sedang berada pada level 1.4430/32 ketika tulisan ini di-upload. Sementara itu MACD pada chart Daily masih berada di atas level 0 (nol). Sehingga, barangkali bisa diambil kesimpulan (secara teknikal) bahwa chart 4H sedang melakukan koreksi terhadap Daily. Yang menarik adalah, level pada chart Daily justru berada pada area upper channel. Jadi bila level 1.4335 (S3) dapat ditembus hari ini, maka bisa jadi akan terjadi perubahan momentum pada chart Daily. Sebaliknya, jika level 1.4405 (Low hari ini) dapat bertahan, bukan tidak mungkin chart Daily akan meneruskan up-momentumnya.R1: 1.4553
PV: 1.4500
S1: 1.4445
S2: 1.4391
S3: 1.4335
Intraday EUR/USD 14 Januari 2010
Harga berada pada level 1.4535/37 ketika tulisan ini di-upload. Sejauh ini, tekanan "buy" masih mendominasi pergerakan pair ini. Secara teknikal, hal ini ditunjukkan dengan value MACD yang masih berada di atas 0 (nol), sehingga bukan tidak mungkin level tertinggi 2 (dua) minggu terakhir ini (1.4577) dapat dikejar kembali. Koreksi terhadap periode 4H juga masih bisa terjadi dengan take profit yang terbatas, selama 1.4577 tidak ditembus pada hari ini.R1: 1.4573
PV: 1.4514
S1: 1.4451
S2: 1.4392
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